← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Ascoli win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Danilo Soddimo · Pisa |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
| 46' | 🟨 | Samuele Birindelli · Pisa |
| 49' | 🟨 | Petar Brlek · Ascoli |
| 62' | 🟨 | Davide Moscardelli · Pisa |
| 75' | 🟨 | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nahuel Valentini · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 787.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1451.88 | 1420.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.94 | 50.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |