← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Cosenza win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Empoli −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Luca Bittante · Cosenza |
| 12' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Rivière · Cosenza |
| 19' | 🟨 | Francisco Sierralta · Empoli |
| 32' | ⚽ | Mirko Carretta · Cosenza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Empoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 67' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Empoli |
| 80' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Rivière · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 22 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 12 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 208.00 | 1334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1536.07 | 1436.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.31 | 8.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 29.11 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |