← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Crotone win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Crotone |
| 59' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Crotone |
| 63' | 🟨 | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 66' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Frosinone Calcio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 80' | ⚽ | Tomislav Gomelt · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 604.00 | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1586.17 | 1489.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.75 | -15.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 65.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 28.03 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |