← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Empoli win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 28' | ⚽ | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 30' | 🟨 | Simone Pinna · Empoli |
| 40' | ⚽ | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 43' | ⚽ | Amato Ciciretti · Empoli |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Domenico Maietta · Empoli |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 85' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Walter López · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 389.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1449.22 | 1521.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.96 | -10.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| league points | 51.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |