← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Pordenone win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Riccardo Bocalon · Pordenone |
| 10' | 🟨 | Luca Ranieri · Ascoli |
| 22' | ⚽ | Tommaso Pobega · Pordenone |
| 24' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Pordenone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 44' | ⚽ | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cristian Andreoni · Ascoli |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alessandro Vogliacco · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 53.00 | 890.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1419.79 | 1489.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.07 | 7.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 45.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.14 | 28.19 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -1.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |