← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cremonese win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 51' | 🟨 | Norbert Gyömbér · Perugia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 198.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1419.46 | 1467.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.99 | 7.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |