← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Venezia FC win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Spezia −0.75 | 50% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Davide Riccardi · Venezia FC |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marco Firenze · Venezia FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 382.00 | 382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1537.27 | 1429.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.85 | 12.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| league points | 56.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.08 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |