← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Virtus Entella win | 23% | 4.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Empoli −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 24' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 26' | 🟨 | Andrea Schenetti · Virtus Entella |
| 33' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Empoli |
| 34' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Virtus Entella |
| 36' | ⚽ | Szymon Żurkowski · Empoli |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jacopo Dezi · Virtus Entella |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jacopo Dezi · Virtus Entella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Empoli |
| 66' | 🟥 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Empoli |
| 82' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Schenetti · Virtus Entella |
| coach days | 198.00 | 747.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1543.56 | 1429.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.47 | -3.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 48.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 27.53 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |