← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Salernitana win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Crotone −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Felipe Curcio · Salernitana |
| 46' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 53' | ⚽ | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 56' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 63' | 🟨 | Felipe Curcio · Salernitana |
| 63' | 🟥 | Felipe Curcio · Salernitana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ramzi Aya · Salernitana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 27 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 594.00 | 382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1583.32 | 1444.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.55 | 5.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| league points | 61.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.40 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 27.27 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |