← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 70% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.64 |
| Livorno win | 10% | 9.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno +1.75 | 56% | 1.70 |
| Spezia +1.75 | 44% | 2.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Spezia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Andrea Luci · Livorno |
| 49' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
| 63' | 🟥 | Alessandro Coppola · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 163.00 | 378.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1300.63 | 1531.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.23 | 12.25 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 21.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.61 | 26.83 |
| state index | -1.37 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |