← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Pisa win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Pisa |
| 39' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Pisa |
| 62' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 74' | 🟨 | Simone Benedetti · Pisa |
| 87' | 🟨 | Eros Pisano · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 743.00 | 773.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1430.31 | 1451.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.97 | 36.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 27.67 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |