← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 37% | 2.71 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 18' | 🟨 | Alberto Rizzo · Cittadella |
| 30' | 🟨 | Thomas Heurtaux · Salernitana |
| 32' | ⚽ | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 37' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 62' | ⚽ | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 84' | ⚽ | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 378.00 | 1839.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1425.41 | 1507.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.72 | 5.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 47.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |