← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 04:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Cosenza win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cosenza +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 46' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 78' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Perugia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1320.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1404.53 | 1428.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.61 | -5.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.39 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |