← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Cosenza win | 24% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Spezia −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Andrej Gălăbinov · Spezia |
| 8' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spezia |
| 20' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Raffaele Schiavi · Cosenza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 48' | 🟨 | M'Bala Nzola · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
| 55' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bahlouli · Cosenza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 66' | ⚽ | M'Bala Nzola · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 375.00 | 1317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1521.44 | 1414.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.08 | 5.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| league points | 50.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 28.80 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |