← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Crotone win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Crotone +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 13' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · Crotone |
| 27' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 37' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 45' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 49' | ⚽ | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 53' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 65' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
| 86' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1836.00 | 587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1523.91 | 1560.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.00 | 27.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 52.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.60 | 28.42 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |