← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Venezia FC win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Benevento −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.79 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Samuele Longo · Venezia FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lollo · Venezia FC |
| 51' | ⚽ | Adriano Montalto · Venezia FC |
| 56' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 59' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 405.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1656.63 | 1423.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.47 | -1.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.67 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| league points | 76.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.06 | 25.47 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |