← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mario Prezioso · Cosenza |
| 50' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Ascoli |
| 62' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 81' | 🟨 | Petar Brlek · Ascoli |
| 84' | 🟨 | Michele Cavion · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1310.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1428.21 | 1369.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.25 | -43.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.31 | -1.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |