β Serie B 2019 Β· Fri, Jul 3, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Pescara win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese β0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pescara β0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ | Luca Valzania Β· Cremonese |
| 15' | π¨ | Luca Valzania Β· Cremonese |
| 65' | π¨ | Cristian Galano Β· Pescara |
| 85' | π¨ | Nicola Ravaglia Β· Cremonese |
| 90' | π¨ | Gennaro Scognamiglio Β· Pescara |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 124.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1442.09 | 1444.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.77 | -14.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 29.42 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |