← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Venezia FC win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 58' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Franco Zuculini · Venezia FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Brignoli · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 368.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1437.45 | 1531.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.75 | -3.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| league points | 39.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |