← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 35% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Spezia win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Spezia +0 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Alessandro Salvi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 16' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | 🟨 | — · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrej Gălăbinov · Spezia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Spezia |
| 85' | ⚽ | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 398.00 | 368.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1505.50 | 1530.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -61.65 | 0.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 48.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 25.87 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |