← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 3, 04:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Cittadella +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alessandro De Vitis · Pisa |
| 53' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 67' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eros Pisano · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 763.00 | 1829.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1441.95 | 1540.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.24 | 27.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.84 |
| league points | 43.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 3.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.50 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |