← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jun 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Perugia win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Amara Konate · Perugia |
| 29' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1825.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1531.52 | 1445.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.73 | 5.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 49.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.89 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |