← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jun 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Crotone +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | — · Ascoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Crotone |
| 48' | 🟨 | Erick Ferigra · Ascoli |
| 60' | ⚽ | Andrea Barberis · Crotone |
| 63' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 69' | 🟨 | Luca Ranieri · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Michele Troiano · Ascoli |
| 78' | ⚽ | Marcello Trotta · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 28.00 | 576.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1366.72 | 1542.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.82 | 24.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.68 | 28.52 |
| state index | -1.39 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |