β Serie B 2019 Β· Mon, Jun 29, 07:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Juve Stabia win | 11% | 8.78 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia β1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Benevento β1.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.72 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | π¨ | Roberto Insigne Β· Benevento |
| 24' | π₯ | Luca Caldirola Β· Benevento |
| 49' | π¨ | Massimo Volta Β· Benevento |
| 64' | π¨ | Denis Tonucci Β· Juve Stabia |
| 71' | β½ | Marco Sau Β· Benevento |
| 76' | π¨ | Salvatore Elia Β· Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 394.00 | 1094.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1675.99 | 1357.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.39 | -9.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| league points | 73.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.43 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.34 | 27.30 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |