← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jun 29, 04:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Cremonese win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cremonese +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Žan Celar · Cremonese |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟨 | Walter López · Salernitana |
| 67' | ⚽ | Žan Celar · Cremonese |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 72' | 🟥 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Cremonese |
| 78' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 79' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 81' | 🟥 | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 85' | ⚽ | Nadir Zortea · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 364.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1430.26 | 1440.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.67 | 3.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 43.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 2.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |