← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jun 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Livorno win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Juve Stabia |
| 5' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 19' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Juve Stabia |
| 21' | 🟨 | Gennaro Ruggiero · Livorno |
| 21' | ⚽ | Giacomo Calò · Juve Stabia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Karamoko Cissé · Juve Stabia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pasquale Fazio · Juve Stabia |
| 59' | ⚽ | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 60' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 61' | 🟥 | Luca Germoni · Juve Stabia |
| 73' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 27 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| 84' | 🟥 | Antonio Porcino · Livorno |
| 86' | ⚽ | Karamoko Cissé · Juve Stabia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Juve Stabia |
| 87' | 🟥 | Giacomo Ricci · Juve Stabia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matija Boben · Livorno |
| coach days | 1091.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1370.72 | 1313.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.30 | -0.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| league points | 36.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 25.39 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |