← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jun 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
| Ascoli win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Petar Brlek · Ascoli |
| 8' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 24' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michele Cavion · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Michele Troiano · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Cristian Molinaro · Venezia FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Marco Firenze · Venezia FC |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Venezia FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 361.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1416.92 | 1373.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.28 | -46.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.02 | 5.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.57 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |