← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jun 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cittadella win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 39' | 🟨 | Christian Mora · Cittadella |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 51' | ⚽ | Davide Luppi · Cittadella |
| 61' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alberto Paleari · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 391.00 | 1822.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1537.67 | 1512.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.81 | 4.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.68 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |