← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Ascoli win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ascoli +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 40' | 🟨 | Michele Troiano · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Cristian Buonaiuto · Perugia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Nicola Leali · Ascoli |
| 70' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 72' | ⚽ | Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 20.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1384.12 | 1434.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.23 | -20.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 4.08 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 27.18 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |