← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Jun 21, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cremonese win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Kingsley Michael · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Benevento |
| 51' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 53' | 🟨 | Massimo Volta · Benevento |
| 78' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 112.00 | 386.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1466.29 | 1672.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.28 | 37.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| league points | 33.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.98 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 2.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 29.27 |
| state index | 0.56 | 1.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |