← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Livorno win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Livorno +0.25 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 60' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 140.00 | 1816.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1323.86 | 1502.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.49 | 5.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |