← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Trapani win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Moses Odjer · Trapani |
| 73' | 🟨 | Luigi Alberto Scaglia · Trapani |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ariaudo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Pagliarulo · Trapani |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 202.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1406.60 | 1539.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.69 | -3.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| league points | 25.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.52 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.55 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |