← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.13 |
| Chievo win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · Crotone |
| 21' | ⚽ | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 39' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 50' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Chievo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 88' | ⚽ | Damir Ceter · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 567.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1546.59 | 1505.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.14 | 13.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 26.95 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |