← Serie B 2019 · Wed, Jun 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 35% | 2.90 |
| Cremonese win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 22' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Cremonese |
| 38' | ⚽ | Leonardo Morosini · Ascoli |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
| 52' | 🟨 | Simone Padoin · Ascoli |
| 59' | ⚽ | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 75' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 16.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1399.49 | 1450.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.49 | 27.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 28.55 |
| state index | -0.86 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |