← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 46% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Juve Stabia win | 25% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Spezia +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Pasquale Fazio · Juve Stabia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Martin Erlić · Spezia |
| 24' | ⚽ | Giacomo Calò · Juve Stabia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Federico Ricci · Spezia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Juve Stabia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Riccardo Marchizza · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Juve Stabia |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Ricci · Spezia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Alfredo Bifulco · Juve Stabia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 981.00 | 251.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1360.69 | 1539.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.96 | 12.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 33.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 4.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 26.36 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |