← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ascoli win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Virtus Entella −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 13' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 21' | 🟨 | Nahuel Valentini · Ascoli |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 57' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 616.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1428.51 | 1413.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.98 | -1.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 4.75 | 3.84 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.39 | 26.36 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |