← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Salernitana win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Pasquale Mazzocchi · Perugia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Leandro Greco · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 50' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 54' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 79' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lamin Jallow · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 66.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1425.17 | 1450.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.60 | 8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 25.16 |
| state index | -1.10 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |