← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Venezia FC win | 27% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Crotone |
| 11' | 🟨 | Nicolò Casale · Venezia FC |
| 12' | ⚽ | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 29' | 🟨 | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 36' | ⚽ | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 83' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Caligara · Venezia FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 250.00 | 462.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1425.74 | 1533.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.06 | 21.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 28.52 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |