β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Mar 7, 01:30 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Pordenone win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone β0.5 | 54% | 1.76 |
| Cittadella β0.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | β½ | Alberto Barison Β· Pordenone |
| 69' | π¨ | Davide Mazzocco Β· Pordenone |
| 75' | π¨ | Gianvito Misuraca Β· Pordenone |
| 77' | π¨ | Nicola Pavan Β· Cittadella |
| 78' | β½ (pen) | Patrick Ciurria Β· Pordenone |
| 81' | π₯ | Simone Branca Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1711.00 | 751.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1521.90 | 1486.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.65 | -2.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 43.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 27.57 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |