← Serie B 2019 · Wed, Mar 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Pescara win | 17% | 6.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Pescara −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Mirko Drudi · Pescara |
| 21' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Pescara |
| 44' | 🟨 | Edoardo Masciangelo · Pescara |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Gennaro Scognamiglio · Spezia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Riccardo Maniero · Pescara |
| 60' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 247.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1529.90 | 1459.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.95 | -23.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.25 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.98 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |