← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jaime Báez · Cosenza |
| 50' | ⚽ | Francesco Stanco · Cittadella |
| 59' | 🟨 | Raffaele Schiavi · Cosenza |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raúl Asencio · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1188.00 | 1707.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1418.96 | 1512.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.32 | 21.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |