← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.04 |
| Perugia win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Benevento +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Leandro Greco · Perugia |
| 44' | ⚽ | Luca Caldirola · Benevento |
| 78' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 90' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 62.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1430.63 | 1660.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.18 | 25.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.84 |
| league points | 33.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 2.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 29.66 |
| state index | -0.73 | 1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |