← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Venezia FC win | 23% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Salernitana −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.60 |
| Over | 39% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Davide Riccardi · Venezia FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fiordaliso · Venezia FC |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 69' | ⚽ | Andreas Karo · Salernitana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Davide Riccardi · Venezia FC |
| 78' | 🟥 | Davide Riccardi · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 246.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1437.67 | 1438.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.83 | 13.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 26.04 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |