← Serie B 2019 · Tue, Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.47 |
| Pisa win | 12% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crotone −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · Crotone |
| 26' | 🟨 | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
| 35' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Pisa |
| 58' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 77' | 🟨 | Danilo Soddimo · Pisa |
| 82' | 🟨 | Simone Benedetti · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro De Vitis · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Gori · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟥 | Francesco Belli · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 458.00 | 641.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1528.26 | 1414.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.85 | 5.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 43.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.63 | 27.77 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |