← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Livorno win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Livorno −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Franco Ferrari · Livorno |
| 55' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Livorno |
| 57' | ⚽ | Franco Ferrari · Livorno |
| 62' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 63' | 🟨 | Riccardo Meggiorini · Chievo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Andrea Luci · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 243.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1514.03 | 1308.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.39 | -38.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 27.41 |
| state index | 0.04 | -1.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |