← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Feb 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 36% | 2.65 |
| Empoli win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Empoli +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Empoli |
| 20' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Simone Romagnoli · Empoli |
| 57' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Empoli |
| 79' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Francisco Sierralta · Empoli |
| 89' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1449.01 | 1540.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.91 | 14.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |