← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Feb 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Livorno win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Salernitana −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 26' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 46' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michele Rocca · Livorno |
| 69' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 237.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1437.77 | 1313.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.85 | -31.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| league points | 36.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.17 | -1.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |