← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 40% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Trapani win | 29% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Spezia +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Spezia |
| 35' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · Trapani |
| 44' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Roberto Pirrello · Trapani |
| 62' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Trapani |
| 67' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Trapani |
| 86' | 🟨 | Roberto Pirrello · Trapani |
| 86' | 🟥 | Roberto Pirrello · Trapani |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 83.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1379.61 | 1540.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.50 | 54.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.81 |
| league points | 19.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 25.41 |
| state index | -0.86 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |