← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Juve Stabia win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 13' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Juve Stabia |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 28' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Juve Stabia |
| 34' | 🟨 | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 47' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
| 69' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 70' | ⚽ | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 4 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1697.00 | 966.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1508.08 | 1376.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.07 | 23.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 26.81 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |