← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Feb 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
| Pisa win | 20% | 5.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Pisa −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 34' | 🟨 | Robert Gucher · Pisa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 60' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Empoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 69' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 46.00 | 625.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1534.62 | 1422.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.09 | 18.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |